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  • Aarhus University
  • Aarhus, DK

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dolpolo/README.md

Ciao, I'm Davide 👋

PhD Researcher in Economics & Econometrics

Aarhus University 🇩🇰

Macroeconometrics · High-Dimensional Data · Factor Models · Nowcasting · Monetary Policy


R MATLAB Python LaTeX


🧑‍💻 About me

I'm a PhD researcher in Economics and Econometrics at Aarhus University, with research interests at the intersection of macroeconometrics, high- and multi-dimensional statistics, and monetary economics.

My work focuses on extracting economically meaningful signals from large and complex datasets, with particular attention to factor models, mixed-frequency data, real-time macroeconomic forecasting, and latent macroeconomic trends.

I'm especially interested in methodological tools that can improve our understanding of inflation, economic activity, and monetary policy in real time.


🔬 Research interests

  • 📊 High-dimensional macroeconometrics
  • 🧩 Matrix and vector factor models
  • ⏱️ Mixed-frequency modelling & ragged-edge data
  • 🔮 Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting
  • 📈 Inflation dynamics and latent trends
  • 🏦 Monetary policy & central banking
  • 🎯 Bayesian and state-space methods
  • 🌍 Real-time macroeconomic data

🚀 Current research

Matrix Factor Models for Real-Time Macroeconomic Analysis

I am working on methods that exploit the matrix structure of large macroeconomic datasets rather than vectorising the available information.

The project studies high-dimensional, mixed-frequency and ragged-edge environments, with applications to real-time GDP nowcasting in the euro area.

Matrix factor models · Mixed frequency · Nowcasting · Real-time data · Euro area


⭐ Measuring Latent Macroeconomic Trends

Another strand of my research studies the joint evolution of latent equilibrium concepts such as:

  • trend inflation — π*
  • natural rate of unemployment — u*
  • potential output growth — g*
  • natural real interest rate — r*

with applications to the Euro Area, United States, United Kingdom and Japan.

State-space models · Bayesian estimation · Inflation · r-star · Monetary policy


🛠️ Research toolkit

Tools
Programming R MATLAB Python
Scientific writing LaTeX Overleaf
Development VS Code Jupyter
Version control Git GitHub

📌 Selected repositories

Repository What it's about
Matrix MF–TPRF Matrix factor methods for mixed-frequency macroeconomic nowcasting
Latent Macroeconomic Trends Estimation and comparison of π*, u*, g* and r*
Macroeconomic Forecasting Tools and experiments for real-time forecasting and factor models

More research code and replication packages coming soon.


📊 GitHub



🎯 Beyond GitHub

My long-term goal is to contribute to research at the intersection of macroeconometrics and central banking, developing empirical tools that help understand the economy when information is incomplete, noisy, and arriving in real time.

📬 Let's connect

Aarhus University · Department of Economics and Business Economics

GitHub LinkedIn Website


"Extracting signal from noisy macroeconomic data."

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  1. Matrix_vs_Vector_TS Matrix_vs_Vector_TS Public

    This work provides a performance comparison between the nowcast carried thoriugh Matrix and Vector Factor Models. The aim is to shred a light on how deal with Factors models witrh observations coll…

    R

  2. Nowcasting_EA_DMFM Nowcasting_EA_DMFM Public

    A novel application of DMFMs for nowcasting matrix-variate time series, specifically focusing on the Gross Domestic Product of major Euro Area countries

    R 2 2

  3. Machine-Learning-Project Machine-Learning-Project Public

    A comparison between several approaches to forecasting using many predictors

    R 1

  4. SVAR SVAR Public

    A nonrecursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks that exploits breaks in the volatility of macroeconomic variables. It adresses two main questions: Is uncertainty a cause or effect of d…

    MATLAB 2 1