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1958 lines (1737 loc) · 134 KB
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{\rtf1\ansi\ansicpg1252\cocoartf2867
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\margl1440\margr1440\vieww11520\viewh8400\viewkind0
\deftab720
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\f0\fs33\fsmilli16900 \cf2 \expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Evaluation of Feature Detector Fit to Real-World Data\
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 A. Synthetic-to-Real Data Match (Cell 12)\
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs26 \cf2 The tuned synthetic generator shows these median statistic comparisons:\
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs24 \cf2 \strokec3 Statistic\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Real\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Synth\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Ratio\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Verdict\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f0\b0 \cf2 CV\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0213\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0337\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.59\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Trend slope %/yr\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0092\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0319\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 3.48
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u10007 (3.5\'d7 overshoot)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Diff CV\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0055\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0044\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.81\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 ACF lag-1\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.9545\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.9875\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.03\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 ACF lag-7\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.9637\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.9921\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.03\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Weekly seas strength\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0310\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0110\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.35
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u10007 (65% too weak)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Yearly seas strength\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.1297\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.0763\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.59\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 (borderline)\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2663\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1047\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1055\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth960\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2285\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Diff kurtosis\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 2.4700\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.4231\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.58\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 (borderline)\cf0 \cell \lastrow\row
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs26 \cf2 \strokec2 Key gaps in the synthetic generator's match to reality:
\f0\b0 \
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls1\ilvl0
\f1\b \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 1 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Trend slope is 3.5\'d7 too strong
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 the synthetic data has trends ~3.5\'d7 steeper than the real data. This means the detector is being trained on unrealistically large trend signals; it may either overfit to large slopes and miss subtle real-world trends, or the trend thresholds may be calibrated too aggressively.\
\ls1\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 2 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Weekly seasonality is only 35% of the real data
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 the synthetic data is\'a0
\f2\i far
\f0\i0 \'a0too smooth across days-of-week. The real data has ~3\'d7 stronger day-of-week patterns. The detector will likely under-detect or mis-characterize weekly patterns when applied to real data.\
\ls1\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 3 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Yearly seasonality and diff kurtosis are borderline
\f0\b0 \'a0(both ~0.58\'960.59 ratio). The synthetic data has substantially thinner tails (kurtosis) and weaker annual cycles than reality, meaning rare extreme events and annual patterns are underrepresented in training.\
\ls1\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 4 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 ACF values are slightly too high
\f0\b0 \'a0(0.987 vs 0.955). The synthetic data is slightly "smoother" / more autocorrelated than reality, which could make the detector under-sensitive to real-world short-horizon volatility.\
\pard\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 B. Optimized Detector Loss (Cell 22)\
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs26 \cf2 The optimized detector achieved\'a0
\f1\b total loss = 52.99
\f0\b0 \'a0(down from baseline 95.49, a 44% improvement). Per-component:\
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs24 \cf2 \strokec3 Component\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Baseline\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Optimized\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Change\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Verdict\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f0\b0 \cf2 anomaly_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 11.76\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 7.24\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 4.52\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 holiday_event_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 28.39\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 12.38\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 16.01\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 holiday_impact_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 33.79\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 17.06\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 16.73\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 holiday_splash_loss
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 6.51
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 7.74
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 +1.24
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u10007 (got worse)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 level_shift_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.28\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.38\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 0.90\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 metadata_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.63\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.63\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 =\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 noise_level_loss
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 2.00
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 2.00
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.00
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 = (stuck)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 noise_regime_loss
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.36
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.36
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.00
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 = (stuck)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 regressor_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 =\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 seasonality_changepoint_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 =\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 seasonality_pattern_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 1.50\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.25\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 1.25\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 seasonality_strength_loss
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 0.78
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 1.00
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 +0.22
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u10007 (got worse)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3624\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1478\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1160\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1659\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 trend_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 7.41\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 6.68\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u8722 0.72\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u10003 \cf0 \cell \lastrow\row
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs26 \cf2 \strokec2 Key gaps in the optimized detector:
\f0\b0 \
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls2\ilvl0
\f3 \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 1 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 holiday_splash_loss
\f1\b \'a0worsened (+1.24)
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 the optimizer traded off holiday spillover accuracy to reduce holiday event/impact losses. The detector is now\'a0
\f2\i worse
\f0\i0 \'a0at capturing the decay of holiday effects into neighboring days.\
\ls2\ilvl0
\f3 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 2 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 seasonality_strength_loss
\f1\b \'a0worsened (+0.22)
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 the optimizer degraded seasonality strength estimation to improve pattern matching. The detector under/over-estimates how strong seasonality actually is.\
\ls2\ilvl0
\f3 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 3 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 noise_level_loss
\f1\b \'a0is stuck at 2.0
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 this is a significant absolute loss that did not budge at all. The detector's noise magnitude estimation is never being improved; it may indicate the noise level estimator has no tunable parameters exposed to the optimizer, or the parameter search space doesn't include the relevant knobs.\
\ls2\ilvl0
\f3 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 4 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 noise_regime_loss
\f1\b \'a0is stuck at 0.36
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 similarly immovable. Noise regime transition detection was never improved. Together with noise_level_loss, the entire noise characterization pipeline is\'a0
\f1\b completely unoptimized
\f0\b0 .\
\ls2\ilvl0
\f3 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 5 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 metadata_loss
\f1\b \'a0is stuck at 0.63
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 series scale/type classification is not optimized, suggesting these metadata detection parameters aren't part of the optimizer's search space.\
\pard\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 C. Gaps in the Loss Function/Match Statistics Themselves\
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs26 \cf2 Looking at what the loss function\'a0
\f2\i measures
\f0\i0 \'a0versus what it\'a0
\f2\i doesn't
\f0\i0 :\
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl0
\f1\b \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 1 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 No real-data validation loss
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 The entire loss framework only evaluates against\'a0
\f1\b synthetic ground truth
\f0\b0 . There is no term that checks whether the detector's outputs are plausible on\'a0
\f1\b real data
\f0\b0 . This is the most fundamental gap: the tuned detector could be perfectly calibrated for synthetic data yet poorly suited for reality (exactly the sim-to-real gap we see in section A).\
\ls3\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 2 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 No cross-validation or generalization metric
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 The optimizer trains and evaluates on the\'a0
\f1\b same
\f0\b0 \'a0synthetic dataset. There is no held-out synthetic set or k-fold scheme to check for overfitting to the specific random seed.\
\ls3\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 3 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Missing distribution-level comparison
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 The loss only measures aggregate/per-series errors but doesn't compare\'a0
\f1\b distributions
\f0\b0 \'a0of detected features vs. true features (e.g., "are detected anomaly magnitudes distributed like true magnitudes?"). This matters when counts are right but the character of detections is wrong.\
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl0
\f3 \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 4 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 seasonality_changepoint_loss
\f1\b \'a0is always 0.0
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 in both baseline and optimized. Either the synthetic data has no seasonality changepoints (making this loss dead weight), or the detector never triggers them. Either way, this component is non-functional.\
\ls3\ilvl0
\f3 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 5 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 regressor_loss
\f1\b \'a0is always 0.0
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 same issue; if the synthetic data doesn't include external regressors, this term contributes nothing and can't be trained.\
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl0
\f1\b \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 6 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 No temporal precision metric
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 While the anomaly loss internally uses a 1-day tolerance for matching, the reported\'a0
\f3 anomaly_loss
\f0 \'a0is a scalar aggregate. There's no\'a0
\f1\b separate
\f0\b0 \'a0metric showing the distribution of timing errors (e.g., "median detection lag is 0.5 days, 90th percentile is 2 days"). The same applies to trend changepoints and level shifts.\
\ls3\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 7 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 No false-positive rate as a standalone metric
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 False positives are folded into the same loss as missed detections (e.g., in anomaly loss:\'a0
\f3 0.15 * count + 0.1 * sqrt(count)
\f0 ). There is no separate precision/recall/F1 breakdown, making it hard to diagnose whether the detector is biased toward over-detection or under-detection.\
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl0
\f3 \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext 8 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 invalid value encountered in divide
\f1\b \'a0warnings
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 These NumPy warnings appear repeatedly during both optimization and evaluation, suggesting division-by-zero in seasonality or noise calculations. This means some series are producing degenerate computations, and those loss values may be NaN or silently clamped, corrupting the loss signal.\
\pard\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 D. Real-Data Application (Cell 23): Red Flags\
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs26 \cf2 When applied to the 5 real series:\
\pard\tx220\tx720\pardeftab720\li720\fi-720\partightenfactor0
\ls4\ilvl0
\f1\b \cf2 \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext \uc0\u8226 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Every series has exactly 4 trend changepoints
\f0\b0 \'a0\'97 this suspicious uniformity suggests the changepoint detector is hitting a hard\'a0
\f3 max
\f0 \'a0cap or the spacing parameter (
\f3 changepoint_spacing: 5040
\f0 ) is forcing exactly 4 breaks across the ~5.5-year span. The real data likely has varying numbers of structural breaks.\
\ls4\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext \uc0\u8226 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 fb_app.ES
\f0\b0 \'a0has\'a0
\f3 noise_to_signal_ratio = 1.0794
\f0 \'a0\'97 noise exceeds signal, yet only 2 anomalies are detected. For such a noisy series, the anomaly count seems suspiciously low.\
\ls4\ilvl0
\f1\b \kerning1\expnd0\expndtw0 \outl0\strokewidth0 {\listtext \uc0\u8226 }\expnd0\expndtw0\kerning0
\outl0\strokewidth0 \strokec2 Seasonality strength values are very low
\f0\b0 \'a0(0.005 \'96 0.081) \'97 given the real data's median weekly seasonality strength of 0.031, these seem plausible, but the detector was trained on synthetic data with\'a0
\f2\i much weaker
\f0\i0 \'a0weekly seasonality (0.011), so it may be mis-calibrated.\
\pard\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 Summary of All Gaps\
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs24 \cf2 \strokec3 Category\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Gap\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Severity\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Synth-Real mismatch
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Trend slopes 3.5\'d7 too steep\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 High\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Synth-Real mismatch
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Weekly seasonality 65% too weak\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 High\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Synth-Real mismatch
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Diff kurtosis/yearly seasonality borderline low\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Optimizer plateau
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Noise level loss stuck at 2.0 (not optimizable)\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 High\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Optimizer plateau
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Noise regime loss stuck at 0.36 (not optimizable)\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Optimizer regression
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Holiday splash loss worsened\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Optimizer regression
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Seasonality strength loss worsened\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Dead loss terms
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f3 \cf2 \strokec2 seasonality_changepoint_loss
\f0 \strokec3 \'a0always 0.0\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Dead loss terms
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f3 \cf2 \strokec2 regressor_loss
\f0 \strokec3 \'a0always 0.0\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Low\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Missing metrics
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 No real-data validation loss at all\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Critical
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Missing metrics
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 No train/test split for overfitting detection\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 High\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Missing metrics
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 No precision/recall/F1 breakdown per feature type\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 High\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Missing metrics
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 No temporal precision distribution reporting\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Missing metrics
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 No detected-feature distribution comparison\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Numerical issues
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Repeated\'a0
\f3 \strokec2 invalid value in divide
\f0 \strokec3 \'a0warnings\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth2828\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx2880
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth5856\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5760
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth997\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 Suspicious outputs
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 All real series get exactly 4 trend changepoints\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Medium\cf0 \
\
\
\cell \lastrow\row
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs33\fsmilli16900 \cf2 \strokec2 Cross-Run Assessment: Run 1 vs Run 2
\fs26 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \
\pard\pardeftab720\sa160\partightenfactor0
\fs31\fsmilli15600 \cf2 Optimized Detector (Cell 22) \'97\'a0
\f1\b \cf2 \strokec2 This is where the runs diverge
\f0\b0 \cf2 \strokec2 \
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrt\brdrnil \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b\fs24 \cf2 \strokec3 Component\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Baseline\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Run 1 Opt\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Run 2 Opt\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 \uc0\u916 (Run2 \u8722 Run1)\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 Total loss
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 95.49
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 52.99
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 51.89
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u8722 1.10
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 anomaly_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 11.76\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 7.24\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 8.07
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 +0.83 (worse)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 holiday_event_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 28.39\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 12.38\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 10.78
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\f1\b \cf2 \uc0\u8722 1.60 (better)
\f0\b0 \cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 holiday_impact_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 33.79\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 17.06\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 17.06\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1936\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr0 \gaph\cellx8640
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 holiday_splash_loss\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 6.51\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 7.74\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 7.74\cf0 \cell
\pard\intbl\itap1\pardeftab720\partightenfactor0
\cf2 0.00\cf0 \cell \row
\itap1\trowd \taflags1 \trgaph108\trleft-108 \tamarb160 \trbrdrl\brdrnil \trbrdrr\brdrnil
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth3174\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx1728
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1262\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx3456
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1397\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx5184
\clvertalc \clshdrawnil \clwWidth1429\clftsWidth3 \clminw960 \clbrdrt\brdrnil \clbrdrl\brdrnil \clbrdrb\brdrnil \clbrdrr\brdrnil \clpadt80 \clpadl0 \clpadb80 \clpadr240 \gaph\cellx6912